Vegas Over/Under: 30.5
The Record Projection: 28-54 of fromal The Bet: Under with confidence that is marginal Rinse and repeat.
In 2013-14, the New York Knicks’ 37-45 record could not quite fit their over/under of 49.5. Back in 2014-15, they came 23.5 games short of reaching their over/under of 40.5. In 2015-16, they’d their over/under place at 31.5 and won 32 games. In 2016-17, their 31-51 album fell well shy of the 38.5 over/under.
Every year, Vegas provides a realistic anticipation, listens as the public works itself into a frenzy about the diminished expectations for a major-market team and then (probably) collectively laughs as its prediction either turns out accurate or too optimistic.
The last time New York exceeded the projection by more than one match was 2012-13, and the roster was quite a bit different. So should this season break the mold?
Yes, Kristaps Porzingis is gifted. Yes, Tim Hardaway Jr. could inject more offensive firepower to the lineup. Yes, Madison Square Garden will probably be filled with cheering fans, even though a few (many?) Of these will be rooting on the opposition.
But Carmelo Anthony is still on the roster, and there’s no end in sight to the endless will-they-won’t-they exchange saga. Ramon Sessions, Frank Ntilikina and Ron Baker include the point-guard rotation. Convincing thickness exists at zero positions.
Please. Do not bet on the Knicks to acquire over 30 games.